Main Findings:
Presidential, Legislative, and Local Elections:
If new presidential elections are held today and only two were nominated,
Abbas would receive the vote of 52% and Haniyeh 41% of the vote of those
participating. The rate of participation in such elections would reach 62%
f presidential elections were between Marwan Barghouti and Ismail Haniyeh,
the former would receive 60% and the latter would receive 33% of the
participants’ votes. The rate of participation in this case would reach 69%.
In our December poll Barghouti received 51% of the vote and Haniyeh 42%.
If presidential elections were between three: Mahmud Abbas, Marwan Barghouti
and Ismail Haniyeh, Barghouti would receive the largest percentage (38%)
followed by Haniyeh (31%), and Abbas (26%). The rate of participation in
this case would reach 73%
If new legislative elections are held today with the participation of all
factions, 71% say they would participate in such elections. Of those who
would participate, 29% say they would vote for Hamas and 41% say they would
vote for Fatah, 11% would vote for all other third parties combined, and 20%
are undecided. Vote for Hamas in the Gaza Strip stands in this poll at 33%
and in the West Bank at 27%. Vote for Fatah in the Gaza Strip stands in this
poll at 42% and in the West Bank at 40%.
Domestic Conditions:
Positive evaluation of conditions in the Gaza Strip drops from 43% three
months ago to 32% in this poll while 40% say conditions are bad or very bad.
Similarly, positive evaluation of conditions in the West Bank drops from 35%
three months ago to 29% in this poll while 44% say conditions are bad or
very bad
Perception of corruption in PA institutions in the West Bank stands at 78%
in this poll compared to 74% three months ago. Perception of corruption in
the public institutions of Hamas’ Gaza government stands at 64% compared to
53% three months ago.
21% say there is, and 44% say there is to some extent, press freedom in the
West Bank. By contrast, 16% say there is, and 35% say there is to some
extent, press freedom in the Gaza Strip.
33% of the Palestinian public say people in the West Bank can criticize the
authority in the West Bank without fear. By contrast, 25% of the public say
people in the Gaza Strip can criticize the authorities in Gaza without fear.
These results indicate a decrease in the perception of freedom to criticize
authorities in the West Bank and the Gaza Strip compared to results obtained
three months ago.
Reconciliation: In the absence of visible progress in the Fateh-Hamas reconciliation dialogue, percentage of optimism about the chances for reunification of the West Bank and the Gaza Strip drops sharply from 39% three months ago to 18% in this poll
Most vital Palestinian goals and the main problems confronting
Palestinians today:
The most serious problem confronting Palestinian society today is the spread
of poverty and unemployment in the eyes of 28% of the public while 26% say
it is the absence of national unity due to the West Bank-Gaza Strip split,
22% believe the most serious problem is the continuation of occupation and
settlement activities, 15% believe the most serious problem is corruption in
some public institutions, and 7% believe it is the siege and the closure of
the Gaza border crossings.
Read the entire survey results here
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